What current indicators are evident that there is too much or too little money within the economy? ...
The debt-to-capital ratio is an indicator which is an evident that there is too much or too little money within the economy. ...
What current indicators are evident that there is too much or too little money within the economy? Note:
Economic Forecast August 2012: Marginally Declines but Still Good
One of the three the major USA leading economic indicators which are touted to have a six month forward vision is negative, and the authors say a recession is here. [ The other two are degrading (showing softening growth).
Yet Econintersect August 2012 economic index indicates the underlying economic fundamentals continue to show economic expansion ? with the rate of growth softening marginally in this forecast.
Econintersect prefers to forecast the economy using non-monetary measures which of late have been more stable than the dollar based expenditures, incomes or stock market indicators.
This post will summarize the:
predictive portions of coincident indicators,
review the technical recession indicators, and
then interpret our own index ? Econintersect Economic Index (EEI) ? which is built of mostly non-monetary ?things? that have shown to be indicative of direction of the Main Street economy at least 30 days in the future.
the ?New Normal? economy is pulsing or growing in unpredictable spurts. These spurts are evident in ECRI?s WLI, Econintersect Economic Index, and the Chicago Fed?s National Activity Index (CFNAI). This makes the economy at times seem like it is gaining traction, and other times about to fall off a cliff. These economic pulses cause some to believe the economy is heading towards a recession ? as forecasts use growth rate-of-change to assess economic trends. Further, these cycles are out of phase with the calendar ? and the commonly used seasonal adjusting methodologies seem to exaggerate these cycles.; ] Auto answered|Score 1|dickmich9|Points 280|Note:
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